Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.009880 0.011814 0.014191 0.017383 0.021651 0.027302 0.035607
2025-04-27 0.007628 0.009927 0.013125 0.018108 0.026108 0.039363 0.065459
2025-05-04 0.006272 0.008591 0.012078 0.018074 0.029054 0.050799 0.106757
2025-05-11 0.005390 0.007665 0.011289 0.018019 0.031768 0.063744 0.172222
2025-05-18 0.004675 0.006831 0.010414 0.017472 0.033202 0.075196 0.262146
2025-05-25 0.004067 0.006057 0.009469 0.016487 0.033212 0.083179 0.369446
2025-06-01 0.003623 0.005489 0.008778 0.015816 0.033681 0.093391 0.549140
2025-06-08 0.003390 0.005245 0.008628 0.016242 0.037251 0.119480 1.140449
2025-06-15 0.003124 0.004907 0.008240 0.016028 0.038934 0.141021 2.246525
2025-06-22 0.002825 0.004475 0.007605 0.015081 0.037923 0.148408 3.532141
2025-06-29 0.002665 0.004282 0.007422 0.015199 0.040581 0.183015 11.722898
2025-07-06 0.002580 0.004218 0.007494 0.015993 0.046240 0.256401 397.080736
2025-07-13 0.002496 0.004165 0.007618 0.017098 0.054753 0.410463 NaN
2025-07-20 0.002383 0.004044 0.007582 0.017776 0.062505 0.646359 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002240 0.003845 0.007335 0.017741 0.066890 0.912010 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002112 0.003665 0.007103 0.017688 0.071370 1.323718 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001974 0.003449 0.006755 0.017154 0.072534 1.711068 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001829 0.003207 0.006314 0.016194 0.070144 1.892977 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001713 0.003017 0.005980 0.015538 0.069529 2.280290 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001656 0.002948 0.005944 0.015955 0.077559 4.573831 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001577 0.002826 0.005754 0.015746 0.080576 7.475766 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001475 0.002646 0.005397 0.014821 0.076549 7.784818 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001422 0.002572 0.005310 0.014937 0.082390 18.144950 NaN